DynAgra Blog
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Reporting on Agriculture in Western Canada
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08 Sep 10 Canadian crop production estimates

Statistics Canada has released estimates of crop production in Canada for 2010.

2010 Canada Crop Production Forecast

2010 Canada Crop Production Forecast

Estimated decreases in wheat, canola and barley production are primarily due to above average precipitation throughout Western Canada. An estimated increases in soybeans production is due to record levels in Manitoba, Ontario and Quebec.

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27 Aug 10 Crop price disparity

A rising tide is supposed to raise all the ships, but some grain prices have increased a lot more than others. Wheat, durum and barley price expectations took a major jump yesterday in the CWB’s newest Pool Return Outlook. Top quality spring wheat is up by nearly $1.50 a bushel. The price expectation for No. 1 CWRS with 13.5 per cent protein is now an average of nearly $6 a bushel net Saskatchewan. The PRO on top quality durum saw an increase of just over a dollar a bushel. No. 1 durum with 13 per cent protein now has a PRO of just over $5 a bushel. Malting barley is up by a dollar a bushel and now sits at $4.13 net Saskatchewan. Cereal prices still pale in comparison to canola, which has been around $10 a bushel and flax which is quoted at around $13. Price quotes approaching 30 cents a pound are now being seen for top quality large green lentils. Crops that you’d have to rate as disappointing include peas, mustard and canaryseed. Yellow pea prices remain under $5.50 a bushel, yellow mustard is only about 24 cents a pound and canaryseed is struggling to hit 20 cents. While some crop prices are in the upper range of historical bids, others are certainly not.

I’m Kevin Hursh.

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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23 Aug 10 Questionable Stat Can estimates

The long-anticipated Statistics Canada report on field crop production that came out on Friday has a lot of questionable numbers. As expected, there’s a big increase in Saskatchewan’s summerfallow acres due to all the land too wet to seed. Stat Can pegs summerfallow at 9.67 million acres, an increase of 5.5 million acres from last year. However, the provincial government has estimated 8 million acres were too wet to seed. On top of that, millions of acres that were seeded have been flooded out. When you compare the Stat Can estimates of seeded acres versus harvested acres, it’s tough to see where all this flooded land has gone. I also think some of the yield estimates are out to lunch. For instance, the Saskatchewan lentil yield is estimated at 1400 pounds an acre. Looking back at data all the way to 1998, that’s the highest lentil yield in all those years. I have a tough time buying that. While big yields are estimated on lentils as well as mustard and canaryseed, yield estimates are down substantially from last year in oats, barley, canola and wheat. After surveying 4,800 Saskatchewan farmers, Stat Can should have accurate production estimates, but I’m not convinced. I’m Kevin Hursh.

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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23 Jul 10 Cereals are still dogs

Wheat, durum and designated barley prices are showing some strength, but they still aren’t very attractive. In the latest Pool Return Outlooks from the Canadian Wheat Board, there is little change in the values for the current crop year, but price projections are up for the new crop year. Wheat futures prices have increased to over $6 a bushel in recent weeks due to drought in Russia and Kazakhstan and the excess moisture problems here in Western Canada. However, wheat fundamentals remain bearish. The new crop Pool Return Outlook is up about 20 cents a bushel from last month, but that puts No. 1 CWRS wheat with 13.5 per cent protein at only about $4.50 a bushel once average Saskatchewan freight and handling is deducted. That’s about 30 cents a bushel less than the price expected in this crop year.

New crop durum has jumped up about 35 cents a bushel from last month, but that puts No. 1 durum with 13.0 per cent protein at only $4.09 a bushel. Two row designated barley for the new crop year is up 22 cents a bushel, which gives a Saskatchewan price of about $3.25 a bushel. Most other crops still have far better price prospects than the main cereals. I’m Kevin Hursh.

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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25 Jun 10 Disappointing PRO

 

The difficult growing season in Western Canada has moved many of the grain markets, but wheat, durum and barley prices remain stubbornly depressed. In the latest Pool Return Outlook from the Canadian Wheat Board, new crop wheat with good protein is up a little bit, but durum and barley are unchanged from last month. The CWB points out that the previous two marketing years saw the largest and second largest global production of wheat on record. The 2010-11 marketing year is virtually certain to be the third largest production of all time. Canada is a huge player on the world durum market, but despite our big drop in durum acres, the overall supply of durum is expected to be adequate for the year ahead. Although world stocks are tightening due to our production drop, global values are constrained by an abundance of durum in Europe, along with the depreciation of the euro. It is also EU stocks that are overhanging the designated barley market. So while canola, lentils, canaryseed, oats and even field peas have strengthened in price in recent weeks, there isn’t much good news in the Pool Return Outlook. I’m Kevin Hursh.

 

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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24 Jun 10 Leaf disease robbing your yield?

With the wet soils and large amounts of rain that have swept through Alberta, leaf disease in cereal crops has come to the forefront. Growers have been bringing barley and wheat in for me to look at and they are full of disease. Tan spot and net blotch have been two of the diseases I have seen in the Standard area. 

 
Leaf Disease

Leaf Disease

The plant disease triangle is complete with the perfect environment and the pathogens are present and the host crops are susceptible. Scout your fields early and right until flag leaf to watch for those yield robbing leaf diseases.

Disease Triangle

Disease Triangle

Yours in crop protection,

Eric Brodie

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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07 Jun 10 1 million acres could go unplanted in Saskatchewan

This spring marks one of the wettest springs ever for Western Canadian farmers.  Around 30% of north eastern Saskatchewan (1 million acres) that is intended to be planted with canola, wheat and barley could go unplanted this spring.  Dennis Haw (Business Development Lead at DynAgra) sent me an email this morning stating the following:

“When we flew into Regina last night it was clear and from the air all you could see was water flooded fields and only about 5% of the fields were green and the rest wasn’t touched.”

One million acres not being seeded has a huge impact on the agricultural sector in Saskatchewan.  Most of the growers in that area would have already prebought their crop inputs, made equipment payments and paid rent for their land and incurred a number of other costs; to not have any revenue or cash flow from that land will be a hard one to swallow. 

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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07 Jun 10 Predicting acreage shifts

With the massive seeding delay, what kind of acreage shifts might there be? Will total seeded acreage in Saskatchewan be down by two million or five million acres? It’s logical to believe there will now be more barley and oats seeded since they require less days to maturity. This may come at the expense of durum and spring wheat. There may be some shift in favour of canola, but you also have to think that canola will be affected a great deal by how many acres don’t get seeded. Canaryseed is an interesting case since Saskatchewan production is the major determining factor for prices. It’s natural for producers to switch to more canaryseed in a late, wet spring and you hear about producers going that route. However, you also hear about producers who are now avoiding canaryseed because the price has dropped all the way down to 13 cents a pound and less. Mustard is a similar situation. It’s relatively short season, but prices are disappointing. Statistics Canada will release an estimate of crop area on June 23. Unfortunately, that survey is done so far in advance of the 23rd that it won’t capture all the last-minute decisions. I’m Kevin Hursh.

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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28 May 10 How high’s the water?

April and May have seen an unprecedented amount of rain over most of Saskatchewan and there’s more rain falling. Precipitation maps compiled by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada show most of the grainbelt has already had more than two times normal precipitation this spring. Much of central Saskatchewan is at a record high. Only the southeast corner of the province is about normal for springtime precip. Everywhere else is above. The area of heaviest precipitation is within the borders of Saskatchewan. The amounts taper off as you move into Alberta and Manitoba. In this week’s crop report, the Saskatchewan Ministry of Agriculture is rating topsoil moisture on cropland as 54 per cent adequate and 46 per cent surplus. The surplus rating will rise as the rain continues to fall. The delayed seeding will no doubt cause some alterations in seeding intentions. There may be fewer lentil acres go in the ground and durum acreage could fall even further. On the other side of the coin, it’s reasonable to now expect more barley acres as well as more canola. It will take a while to get a handle on the magnitude of any acreage shifts. I’m Kevin Hursh.

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

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12 May 10 Importance of a good chemical rotation and records

With tight commodity prices, growers are trying to find crops that will return the most to their operation.  This sometimes becomes a nightmare because of what was applied the previous year’s crop.  We need to be thinking further ahead than we ever had to in the past of what we are planting due to some of the chemistries we use for weed control having residual in them.  If you have a Wheat, Barley and Canola rotation then we want to make sure that the year before the canola that we are not using any products that have residual.  That seems simple enough but sometimes fields change.  This could be the case for this spring in areas so you have to be aware of what was applied in that field.  Once we get into the specialty crops like peas, lentils, beans and potatoes we need to go back at least 3 years to see what was sprayed.   Keeping good records is the key to knowing what was applied to your fields and can make life so much easier.  That was one of the reasons we created My Farm Manager through the DynAgra website.  This is your online storage locker with all of your agronomy files in one place.

 

The other factor of a good chemical rotation is in regards to resistance management.  I know it is very easy to use the same product across the farm because it comes in shuttles.  There are more instances of group one wild oat resistance every year and in some areas we have group 2 and group 8 resistant wild oats.  Wild oats are not the only thing that there is resistance.  There is group 2 resistant kochia, chickweed and cleavers to name a few.  So when looking at what to spray look out further than the rebate cheque the companies are offering and see what is going to be the best choice for your farm.

 

Those are my thoughts,

 

 Garth Donald C.C.A

 

DynAgra, an independent Western Canada-based Company, is dedicated to providing growers with the tools to manage the risk and maximize the profitability of their farm business through the continued innovation of agricultural products and services. We are committed to developing and providing growers with the latest in precision agronomics, variable rate technology, soil fertility, crop protection, fertilizers, custom application and financial solutions.

 

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